AccuWeather 2019 Europa pronóstico de verano

Se predice un verano lleno de calor intenso en algunas partes de Europa, mientras que el clima severo será una preocupación para otros.

Los períodos secos prolongados causarán problemas de sequía y amenazarán la agricultura, ya que la lluvia escaseará en gran parte del continente durante los meses de verano.

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Olas de calor peligrosas para construir desde la Península Ibérica hasta Europa Central.

Es probable que la historia más importante del verano sean las olas de calor de larga duración que afectarán áreas desde Portugal y España hasta Polonia y Hungría.

El calor comenzará en junio en toda la Península Ibérica antes de extenderse hacia el norte y el este durante los meses de verano.

El calor será más persistente que durante el verano pasado, cuando se registraron temperaturas récord en partes de Portugal, Bélgica, los Países Bajos, Alemania y Escandinavia, pero generalmente duró solo una semana más o menos.

Incluso cuando las olas de calor más intensas disminuyan, serán breves y las temperaturas permanecerán cerca o por encima de lo normal antes de volver a niveles peligrosos una vez más.

Las temperaturas superiores a 38 C (100 F) serán posibles desde el norte de Francia, Bélgica y los Países Bajos hasta Polonia, Eslovaquia y Hungría.

"Las altas temperaturas pueden alcanzar los 40 ° C (104 ° F) en partes del sur y este de Francia desde julio hasta principios de agosto", dijo el meteorólogo de AccuWeather Tyler Roys.

Los lugares más cálidos de Portugal y España verán olas de calor de varios días con temperaturas máximas de 43 C (110 F) o superiores.

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Un hombre se enfría en una playa urbana en el parque madrileño de Río de Madrid, viernes 3 de agosto de 2018. (Foto AP / Francisco Seco)


Las noches de calor inusitado también serán una preocupación durante estas olas de calor, lo que creará condiciones peligrosas como las casas sin aire acondicionado que no podrán enfriarse antes de que el calor vuelva a acumularse al día siguiente.

Será importante que los residentes y visitantes tomen un cuidado especial en el calor para prevenir enfermedades. Será necesario beber mucha agua, pasar tiempo a la sombra y usar ropa ligera.

Cuando sea posible, se deben evitar las actividades extenuantes al aire libre durante las horas más calurosas del día.

Las condiciones de estancamiento que contribuyen al intenso calor también darán como resultado una mala calidad del aire, especialmente en y cerca de las ciudades. La calidad del aire también puede empeorar por el humo de los incendios forestales.

Los niños, los ancianos y las personas con afecciones respiratorias o cardiovasculares deben evitar pasar tiempo fuera lo más posible cuando se emitan alertas de calidad del aire.

Incendios forestales para amenazar a España, Portugal y los Alpes.

Las intensas olas de calor y los largos períodos de clima seco durante todo el verano traerán un alto riesgo de incendios forestales en gran parte de Europa occidental y central.

Las zonas de mayor riesgo serán desde el norte de Portugal hasta el norte de España y desde los Alpes hasta Alemania y República Checa.

Un invierno y una primavera húmedos en gran parte de Europa occidental y central darán como resultado más vegetación que en años anteriores.

Sin embargo, a medida que el clima seco prevalece a principios del verano, el escenario estará listo para un alto riesgo de incendios forestales durante la segunda mitad de la temporada.

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Los aldeanos observan cómo un avión de bomberos arroja agua para detener un incendio forestal que llega a sus casas a solo unas docenas de metros en el pueblo de Chao de Codes, cerca de Macao, Portugal central, el miércoles 16 de agosto de 2017. (AP Photo / Armando Franca )


La Península Ibérica estará en riesgo primero debido a la acumulación de calor en junio combinada con poca o ninguna lluvia.

La amenaza se extenderá hacia el noreste a través de Francia y en los Alpes, Alemania y el resto de Europa central desde julio hasta agosto.

Es probable que esta amenaza continúe en otoño a medida que persisten la vegetación seca y el clima cálido.

"La sequía será una preocupación cada vez mayor en estas áreas desde fines del verano hasta el otoño, lo que acentuará la agricultura y los suministros de agua por segundo año consecutivo en muchos lugares", dijo Roys.

Península balcánica para soportar rondas de tormentas severas

Si bien el clima seco y caluroso domina una gran parte de Europa este verano, las tormentas severas amenazarán la Península de los Balcanes durante toda la temporada.

Aunque la región no será inmune a las olas de calor, el calor extremo será limitado.

Tormentas violentas amenazarán a Grecia a Serbia, Rumania y Bulgaria, ya que los disturbios se suceden en la región desde el Mediterráneo, así como desde Europa del Este y Rusia.

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Drago Ban inspecciona el daño a su automóvil desde las ramas caídas de un árbol, en Zagreb, Croacia, el lunes 13 de mayo de 2019. (AP Photo / Darko Bandic)


"Estas tormentas traerán frecuentes relámpagos, inundaciones y daños por vientos y granizo", dijo Roys. "Las tormentas más fuertes serán capaces de producir tornados".

Las tormentas severas probablemente serán durante las horas de la tarde y la noche.

Estas tormentas ocasionalmente se encenderán más al oeste, trayendo un clima volátil a Italia.

El mayor riesgo será por daños de vientos, granizo e inundaciones repentinas.

Un verano lleno de sol del Reino Unido a Francia, pero las preocupaciones por la sequía surgirán

El clima seco dominará gran parte del verano en Irlanda, el sur del Reino Unido, los Países Bajos y el norte de Francia.

El clima seco brindará amplias oportunidades para que las personas disfruten de actividades al aire libre.

Las temperaturas generalmente estarán en o por encima de la media de junio a agosto, pero el calor más intenso se encontrará en todo el interior de Europa.

Serán posibles breves olas de calor, que generalmente duran tres días o menos antes de que el aire más fresco alivie.

"Durante estos períodos cálidos, las temperaturas pueden alcanzar los 32 ° C (90 ° F) en todo el sur de Inglaterra y las Midlands", dijo Roys.

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Las mujeres disfrutan de un picnic en Hyde Park, Londres, el martes 13 de septiembre de 2016. (AP Photo / Kirsty Wigglesworth)


A medida que avanza el verano, el clima seco combinado con temperaturas por encima de lo normal y una gran cantidad de luz solar diaria llevará a la sequía en toda la región.

Los cultivos estresados ​​y dañados pueden resultar del clima cálido y seco, y la escasez de agua también es posible en algunas áreas.

También habrá un riesgo elevado de incendios forestales a fines del verano debido a las condiciones secas.

La zona más probable para evitar la sequía será en toda Escocia, donde los frentes traerán lluvias ocasionales y aire más fresco.

Falta de calor extremo para Escandinavia, Europa del Este

Tras el calor extremo y los incendios forestales del verano pasado, Escandinavia puede esperar un verano más típico este año.

Las temperaturas serán cálidas durante toda la temporada, pero no se prevén olas de calor duraderas ni períodos de sequía prolongados.

La combinación de temperaturas más bajas y lluvias ocasionales reducirá dramáticamente el riesgo de incendios forestales desde el año pasado, cuando muchas áreas sufrieron los peores incendios de la historia moderna.

"Si bien gran parte de los países escandinavos vio menos del 50 por ciento de sus precipitaciones normales el verano pasado, la región puede esperar un 70-100 por ciento de lo normal este verano", dijo Roys.

Europa del Este evitará gran parte del clima extremo que afectará al continente este verano; sin embargo, las temperaturas pueden acercarse brevemente a 38 C (100 F) por un tiempo en medio del verano, según Roys.

En general, se esperan climas cálidos con precipitaciones de Ucrania a Estonia, que oscilan entre casi la ligera y por debajo de lo normal.

Las ubicaciones desde el sur de Lituania hasta el oeste de Ucrania serán las más propensas al calor intenso, mientras que las tormentas severas ocasionalmente golpearán el sur de Bielorrusia, Ucrania y Moldavia.

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